Ever wondered the likelihood that your team wins the playoffs once they make it into the dance? Sure, you could figure out how many passing yards your quarterback might get against the 20th ranked passing defense you’re facing and then add in your rushing defense against their weak offensive line, crunch the numbers, divide by pi, and come up with some abstract number that you’re not even sure how you got.
Or you could just let the guys at FiveThirtyEight do it for you. They’ve been finding probabilities for just about every game this season and updating the chances that each team has of winning it all as each game finishes. They just published the chances each playoff team has of winning the Super Bowl.
Check out the probabilities below–we’ve even related each team’s chances to the chances of other real life situations occurring.