In the end, I’m not sure the theory is all that practical. There’s no point in jeopardizing a pay day upwards of $100 million for Floyd with a $400k bet–if he were even able to place that amount.
It’s not out of the question for Floyd, though, as he did brag to ESPN that he was correct in calling the fight at under 9.5 rounds. But to Floyd’s credit, the fight did play out just the way his camp had planned for, and what other media members had also predicted.
Conor would come in hot at the beginning, trying to knock him out with that powerful left and not let the fight get into the later rounds where Floyd is a master, and Conor had little experience due to the shorter fights of the UFC.
We might never know if the theory is true, but it’s stuff like this that has always made boxing alluring to a lot of people–the unknown factors behind the scenes.